COMMENT
"In the words of German Chancellor Helmut
Schmidt:
“Never underestimate the stupidity of
government”
Getting ready for Express Entry: Part 1
We are being advised that below are the targets for Ottawa
2015 Express entry program
Below are Ottawa’s Express Entry policy guidelines.
As always, Ottawa policy guidelines are “reasonable”
Ottawa says that:
- It will keep the existing programs (Federal Skilled Worker... FSW,
Canada Experience Class… CEC and Federal Skilled Trades Program (CEC)
- It is committed to assuring that the number of visas approved by
the Express Entry program will be in line with the existing targets handed
out by the CEC, FSW and FSTP programs
- It is committed to favoring landed immigrants over temporary
workers. Thus, LMIA’s for permanent residency applications will be cheaper
and easier than LMIAs for temporary workers
- It is committed to processing files in 6 months
- The new program is responsive to “economic and labour needs”
- Potential immigrants will be processed on the basis of their
potential in becoming successfully economically established in Canada
Getting ready for Express Entry: Part 2
The Ontario trades sector and
Express Entry.
The cynical consensus
Most GTHA
observers, excluding me, assume
that Express Entry will change nothing for the GTHA trades... they assume that
life will go on as it has since 1972. This means that:
- We in Ontario get the illegal’s while the rest of Canada gets the
legals
- Ottawa will do some pro forma enforcement before the 2015 election
in order to pretend that the system
has some vestiges of integrity
- Government will give up the illegal worker tax revenue in return
for fewer GTHA voters, fewer OHIP patients and fewer pension claimants
- Employers and unions will not even feel a bump in the road
I disagree with
the “business as usual” crowd.
As I see things,
Express Entry will be a 10 year game changer in the GTHA trades.
Why?
Because, I’m taking
Ottawa at its word concerning tough language standards, byzantine skills
assessments and easier, cheaper LMIA‘s for immigrants.
The combination of absurd
language and skills assessment rules together with relaxed LMIA’s for Express
Entry applications will assure that:
- The skilled trades immigrant program will bring in more English
& French speaking workers from third world counties
- Given boom and bust economies in Western Canada , most of the third
world workers will gravitate to the GTHA
- As more legal trades workers come into the GTHA there will be
pressure to remove the present core of illegal European workers
- The present “shared cultural “values of the Ontario trades will be
disrupted in much the same way as the trucking industry ...new players will create new realities,
some unpleasant
Getting ready for Express Entry: Part 3
Ottawa’s recipe for more GTHA
trades disaster with Express Entry
Ottawa has once again decided that bureaucrats, and not employers, will
decide which workers will be allowed on our job sites, kitchens and mechanics
shops.
Ottawa’s exact quotes are:
“ Express Entry will allow Citizenship and
Immigration Canada to select who are most likely to succeed economically
in Canada, rather than passively process all applicants in a queue.
Express Entry candidates who are invited
to apply for permanent residence can expect faster processing times of six
months or less”.
I can just imagine
some of the “invitation” questions that the bureaucrats have cooked up.
I’ll bet the farm
that no trades worker will be “invited” by the bureaucrats unless:
a) They’ve passed the language exam
b) They have certificates of skills education and work from their home
country
c) They have never worked illegally in
Canada
In theory, all of
the above questions are reasonable.
Ottawa bureaucrats
are always “reasonable” when establishing principles.
The problem is that
what passes as “reasonable” in Ottawa is simple nonsense in the real world of
the GTHA trades.
Somewhere between
the policy principles and the bureaucracy’s execution of those policies, Canada
Immigration consistently manages to bugger things up.
For example,
experience shows that during the past 20 years:
- Only 48 % of applicants selected by the bureaucrats have actually stayed in Canada (Source:
Asia Pacific Foundation)
- Many of the others selected
by the bureaucrats have driven this nation’s welfare rolls through the roof.
The Fraser Institute pegs the annual
welfare bill in the $24 billion range
- Most investors selected by the bureaucrats were not investors
- Most entrepreneurs selected
by the bureaucrats were not entrepreneurs
- Many spouses selected by the bureaucrats were not spouses
- Many refugees selected by the bureaucrats were not refugees
- Thousands of citizens approved by the bureaucrats were not citizens
- 500,000 GTHA skilled trades workers either refused or ignored by bureaucrats have in turn ignored the
bureaucrats and work illegally
After spending
years and millions of dollars setting up immigration programs, the bureaucrats
eventually close down corrupt, failed boondoggle after corrupt, failed
boondoggle.
The GTHA trades
have survived by ignoring government.
The problem this
time is that Ottawa is probably serious about imposing its lunacy on the GTHA
trades.
The impact of the above three little,
“reasonable” bureaucratic, EXPRESS ENTRY “invitation” questions will be
devastating to the Ontario economy
Here’s what will
happen in the Ontario trades:
- Employers will lose 95% of trades workers from southern and eastern
Europe, including those already successfully established in Ontario. These
are the existing workers who have been certified by the Ontario government
as being “safe” on the job site even though they cannot pass the language
exam.
Express Entry will assuredly invite a significantly disproportionate
group from England Ireland, France, the Commonwealth and Francophonie.
GTHA employers will give up proven workers from Europe and in return
will get untested, largely third world workers who speak fluent French or
English but have no clue about a Toronto construction site. Wonderful.
- Employers will not be able to retain workers from jurisdictions
such as Portugal which produce good workers but bad trade certification.
Employers will be asked to hire workers from corrupt third world jurisdictions
who may or may not generate good trades workers but can be relied on to crank
out corrupt trade certification.
Employers will be asked to hire works from Ireland, France and England
who may have great certificates but zero ability to compete on Toronto
construction sites, other than on gold bricking public infrastructure locations
such as the TTC. The subways will never be built.
- Ottawa’s feigned obsession with “illegal workers’ is laughable.
Illegal workers pose a greater threat for Ottawa than alleged terrorists. Ottawa will not process or even
acknowledge “illegal “work. Ottawa will make a deal with a terrorist.
Ottawa deports workers. Do we laugh or do we cry?
Ottawa will sacrifice Ontario employers on the grounds that the
“integrity of the system” demands that we enforce against those who have worked
illegally. Meanwhile Ottawa will not consider that its own fraudulent LMI and cynical
acceptance of illegal works created this mess.
- I believe Ottawa when it says that it will get better Labour Market
Information (LMI) for the GTHA trades. The
new LMI combined with draconian language requirements will assure
the third world takeover of the GTHA trades
Conclusions
Employers and
unions of 500,000 illegal workers in the GTHA are so intimidated by Ottawa that
they will pull the covers over their heads and wonder why they can’t legalize
their workers in a booming economy
Express Entry will
be the final frontier in denying Ontario employers and unions the ability to
retain their trades staff, all 500,000 of them
Ten years from now,
Ottawa will add the skilled trades’ program to its list of aborted policy
failures.
By that time, the
GTHA will be the Detroit of Canada."
Richard Boraks, November 12,2014